Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Tuesday Roundup/Gamenight: Caps @ Preds

[AP Preview - WashingtonCaps.com Preview]

And so it begins.

The Caps can't make the playoffs with a great road trip, but they sure as hell can take themselves out of post-season contention if things don't go well. Six games: Nashville, Chicago, Atlanta, Carolina, Tampa and Florida. What do you think - gotta have eight points, at a bare minimum?

The good news is that none of these teams is unbeatable. Nashville lost big at home to the worst team in hockey on Saturday (but then rebounded to beat the League's best team on the road the next day). Chicago is a nice story in the way that the Caps were a "nice story," but here it is mid-March and the Caps are still playing meaningful games while the 'Hawks are optimistically looking towards next year. And, of course, there's the trio of Southeast Division foes, each of whom the Caps have beaten at least twice already this season.

The bad news is that the Caps haven't exactly shone brightly in big games lately. In fact, since the night they triumphantly stood atop the Southeast Division for the first time in years, they've gone a respectable (thanks to the current three-game win streak) 9-6-3, but only 2-3-1 within the Division, and even in some of their wins haven't been at their best.

"It looked like we were afraid to make a mistake instead of, 'Let's go get them,' and play the way we can.... We were tight a little bit out there because of the importance of the game," said Bruce Boudreau of Sunday's game against Boston, but he could just as easily have been talking about any number of games since early February.

Of course, the more cautious play has yielded some impressive defensive numbers, most notably 19 goals allowed in the last 11 games. Cristobal Huet (tonight's starter) is on fire (1.69 GAA, .940 SV% in his last five games; coincidentally, Huet has already faced the Preds this season, stopping 40 shots but losing in a shootout after giving up three late third period goals). Olie Kolzig (tomorrow night's starter) is also on fire (1.20 GAA, .942 SV% in his last four games). And so on. But the Caps need to be more aggressive and less-easily frustrated than they were on Sunday, or else they're going to see nothing but one-fours the rest of the way.

Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately), this sets up as a game in which both teams have every incentive to play a tight, low-risk sixty minutes and then take their chances in overtime or the shootout - the Preds, like the Caps, are within striking distance of eighth place in the conference, but on the outside looking in. Will either team open it up, or will it be a "wink-wink, nudge-nudge, see you in sixty minutes when we each have a point" affair? Tune in to find out.

His seven years of mourning The Intimidator complete, Bobby Joe realized it was his destiny to put his gift of back hair maintenance to further use and start the Marek Zidlicky Fan Club

Elsewhere 'Round the Rinks:

If you missed this Larry Wigge article on Olie Kolzig, unmiss it now.... Should the Caps miss the playoffs, be prepared for six thousand "Can you miss the playoffs and be MVP?" articles like this one.... Speaking of the Hart Trophy, Mike Brophy's top six candidates early yesterday morning were Jarome Iginla, Martin Brodeur, Roberto Luongo, Nicklas Lidstrom, Evgeni Malkin and Vincent Lecavalier. Apparently he had a cup of coffee and came back and remembered that other guy a couple of hours later.... And speaking of brain-dead journos, Pierre LeBrun names ten Coach of the Year candidates, but doesn't list Gabby among 'em.... I sure hope Nicklas Backstrom is mentally ready for tonight's game after no doubt being shaken by this news.... The Top 10 Defensemen of All-Time apparently doesn't include Rod Langway or Scott Stevens.... It'll be "a crying shame if the Washington Capitals don't make the NHL playoffs." Agreed.... Happy 30th Birthday to former Cap Jan Bulis.... Finally, one year ago today we looked at two rumors (one of which more or less panned out - I'll let you figure out which one) and two years ago today we previewed that night's Caps/Kitties match up.

Daily Awards
  • Hart: Henrik Sedin (2G, 4 SOG)
  • Ross: Brent Burns, Sami Salo, Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin, Kevin Bieksa (2 points each)
  • Norris: Brent Burns (G, A, +1, 5 SOG, 6 hits)
  • Vezina: Niklas Backstrom (W, 29 saves on 30 shots against)
  • Richard: Henrik Sedin (2G)
  • Calder: Daniel Carcillo (G, 21 PIMs... at least he gets the fantasy Calder)
  • Aiken: Peter Forsberg (0 points, 0 SOG, -2)


Abhinav said...

That's quite the list of articles, JP. Not including Ovie, not including BB, where's an article about how Bex doesn't deserve the Calder?

JP said...

I aim to keep you well-informed (and unproductive), Rage.

And give the "he only has those numbers because he skates with Ovechkin" articles time. In fact, maybe the Chicago Sun Times and/or Trib will provide us with one in advance of tomorrow night's game against Kane and Toews.

Victor said...

gotta have eight points, at a bare minimum?

Only if they're regulation wins--just a couple of 3-point games, like against Carolina--and I think we can start talking about next season.

Unknown said...

I think that they can effectively make the playoffs on this road trip. If they win all six games, they're in. Unlikely, but still...

Anonymous said...

great writing, but next time, please give warning of pictures like the '3'. I almost tossed my coffee.


1) No matter how you want to splice the remaining season, the Caps will NEED to go 7-2 in their remaining games to have a shot.
2) That would mean a 10-2 finish. Would be improbable, but very impressive if accomplished.
3) So who sits IF/when Clark returns? How will Boudreau re-arrange lines?

Anonymous said...

Damn, I knew I shouldn't have skipped that statistics class in college. I've officially given up trying to figure out all the playoff combinations. The best I can offer is that if the Caps run the table, they're in. Barring that, I think that if they can go four out six on the road trip, with one of those four being a win in Florida, and then sweep the final three home games they should make it.

Unknown said...

Uhhh, you forgot the label: Pictures that will make me instantly vomit!

JP said...

Speaking of great pictures, I just remembered The Trotz Family Tree.

Anonymous said...

Is it just me or does Barry Trotz seem like he was born without a neck? Kind of like his head was just stuck on his shoulders.

NS said...

faux - do we really want Clark back in with so few games left? he's going to be pretty rusty. lets not forget the slew of bad penalties he took earlier in the season when he WAS healthy.

I'd say sit Fleischmann if need be.

Anonymous said...

Trotz pic: Never. Gets. Old.

Surely, we can come up with some for other coaches.....

Paul Maurice = David Hyde Pierce + ?

Hitchcock = Capt. Kangaroo + ?

Gabby = Ziggy + a Doozer from Fraggle Rock.

Man, I need another hobby.

Anonymous said...

I must say Japers where do you find such wonderful pictures! I can always count on you to either make me cry or laugh with disgust everytime!

Anonymous said...

One of the (numerous) scary things about that pic is that the creature on the left, who is bigger than Mr. Three, is not a male.


Unknown said...

Even though I will be ridiculed for admitting to be a NASCAR fan (though my interest in the sport is waning), I have actually seen that #3 guy at a race in Richmond. He has more hair on his back than on his head and he was nearly successful in causing mass vomiting there as well.

That creature was probably the one who created the #3 on his back. ewwwwww.

Anonymous said...

In fairness, the creature on the left may just be a man wearing a bro (or manzier, if you prefer).