- The four teams with the best chances of landing the #1 overall pick - Buffalo, Columbus, N.Y. Rangers and Pittsburgh - each have only a 6.25% chance of doing so. Compare that with the last draft in which Pittsburgh (the team with the fewest points during the regular season) had a 25% chance of winning the lottery (and of course didn't).
- Put another way, Pittsburgh had as much chance of winning the lottery in the last go 'round as the top four teams combined do this year.
- In fact, the sixth-worst team in '03-'04 had about a 6.2% chance of nabbing the #1 pick, the same odds as this year's "Most Likely To Succeed".
- There is a 93.75% chance that the Rangers will not win the draft lottery. Huzzah!
- It is more likely that one of Detroit (109 points in '03-'04), Tampa (106) or Boston (104) will win the top pick than that Chicago (59) will, and an equal chance that one of San Jose (104), Ottawa (103) or Toronto (102) will win the lottery as there is that Columbus (62) will.
- There is a 21% chance that the team that wins the lottery has made the playoffs in each of the last three seasons, and the same odds that the team that wins the lottery had 100+ points in '03-'04.
It's just a shame that a player like Crosby has to come along when the League's house is in such disarray and a player that could change the sport might end up on a team or in a market that really doesn't need him. Personally, besides obviously wanting to see Sid centering Alex Ovechkin in Washington, I think the kid would look great in black and purple - send him to Hollywood (4.16% chance).